This time last year, Bloomberg said there would 100% be a recession, per Bloomberg.

In October, Per Bloomberg

Bloomberg economists Anna Wong and Eliza Winger say the chances of a recession happening within 12 months is up 100% compared to its previous update of 65%.

Another survey found that 42 economists predict a 60% chance, up from 50% last month, of a recession happening in the next 12 months.

The chances of a recession happening in 11 months have grown from 30% to 73%.
The chances of a recession happening in 10 months have grown from 0% to 30%.

Read more: https://unusualwhales.com/news/bloomberg-economics-model-projections-say-us-recession-certain-in-the-next-12-months