This week, Donald J. Trump shared a bold graphic on social media, suggesting that his path to victory in the upcoming presidential election looks stronger than ever. According to the graphic, Mr. Trump now has a 65.6% chance of winning against Vice President Kamala Harris, who stands at 34.4% — an optimistic projection compared to the typical poll results showing a closer race. His post quickly gained traction, gathering over 10,000 likes and an enthusiastic flurry of fist and American flag emojis from supporters.
These updated odds come from Polymarket, a popular crypto-powered betting platform and Unusual Whales Advertising partner, where more than $100 million has been wagered on the election's outcome. Using digital currencies, users on Polymarket are actively staking on predictions, making it a notable online phenomenon for election forecasts in 2024.
Polymarket’s betting trends have even caught the attention of media outlets like CNN, and entrepreneur Elon Musk recently praised the platform’s odds on X (formerly Twitter), claiming that real money-backed predictions hold more weight than conventional polls. As the odds have leaned increasingly in his favor, Mr. Trump has spotlighted Polymarket's figures to bolster his narrative of a confident win on the horizon.
